A review of sources of systematic errors and uncertainties in observations and simulations at 183 GHz
Hélène Brogniez1,Stephen English2,Jean-François Mahfouf3,Andreas Behrendt4,Wesley Berg5,Sid Boukabara6,Stefan Alexander Buehler7,Philippe Chambon3,Antonia Gambacorta8,Alan Geer2,William Ingram9,E. Robert Kursinski10,Marco Matricardi2,Tatyana A. Odintsova11,Vivienne H. Payne12,Peter W. Thorne13,Mikhail Yu. Tretyakov11,and Junhong Wang14Hélène Brogniez et al.Hélène Brogniez1,Stephen English2,Jean-François Mahfouf3,Andreas Behrendt4,Wesley Berg5,Sid Boukabara6,Stefan Alexander Buehler7,Philippe Chambon3,Antonia Gambacorta8,Alan Geer2,William Ingram9,E. Robert Kursinski10,Marco Matricardi2,Tatyana A. Odintsova11,Vivienne H. Payne12,Peter W. Thorne13,Mikhail Yu. Tretyakov11,and Junhong Wang14
Received: 12 Jan 2016 – Discussion started: 29 Jan 2016 – Revised: 25 Apr 2016 – Accepted: 29 Apr 2016 – Published: 18 May 2016
Abstract. Several recent studies have observed systematic differences between measurements in the 183.31 GHz water vapor line by space-borne sounders and calculations using radiative transfer models, with inputs from either radiosondes (radiosonde observations, RAOBs) or short-range forecasts by numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. This paper discusses all the relevant categories of observation-based or model-based data, quantifies their uncertainties and separates biases that could be common to all causes from those attributable to a particular cause. Reference observations from radiosondes, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers, differential absorption lidar (DIAL) and Raman lidar are thus overviewed. Biases arising from their calibration procedures, NWP models and data assimilation, instrument biases and radiative transfer models (both the models themselves and the underlying spectroscopy) are presented and discussed. Although presently no single process in the comparisons seems capable of explaining the observed structure of bias, recommendations are made in order to better understand the causes.
Because a systematic difference between measurements of water vapor performed by space-borne observing instruments in the microwave spectral domain and their numerical modeling was recently highlighted, this work discusses and gives an overview of the various errors and uncertainties associated with each element in the comparison process. Indeed, the knowledge of absolute errors in any observation of the climate system is key, more specifically because we need to detect small changes.
Because a systematic difference between measurements of water vapor performed by space-borne...