Articles | Volume 17, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-1851-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-1851-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Apr 2024
Research article |
| 03 Apr 2024
| 03 Apr 2024
Effects of clouds and aerosols on downwelling surface solar irradiance nowcasting and short-term forecasting
Kyriakoula Papachristopoulou
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Section of Geography and Climatology, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, 15784, Greece
Institute for Astronomy, Astrophysics, Space Applications and Remote Sensing, National Observatory of Athens (IAASARS/NOA), Athens, 15236, Greece
Ilias Fountoulakis
Research Centre for Atmospheric Physics and Climatology, Academy of Athens, Athens, 11521, Greece
Institute for Astronomy, Astrophysics, Space Applications and Remote Sensing, National Observatory of Athens (IAASARS/NOA), Athens, 15236, Greece
Alkiviadis F. Bais
Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, 54124, Greece
Basil E. Psiloglou
Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens (IERSD/NOA), Athens, 15236, Greece
Nikolaos Papadimitriou
Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, Department of Physics, University of Patras, Patras, 26500, Greece
Ioannis-Panagiotis Raptis
Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Section of Geography and Climatology, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, 15784, Greece
Andreas Kazantzidis
Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, Department of Physics, University of Patras, Patras, 26500, Greece
Charalampos Kontoes
Institute for Astronomy, Astrophysics, Space Applications and Remote Sensing, National Observatory of Athens (IAASARS/NOA), Athens, 15236, Greece
Maria Hatzaki
Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Section of Geography and Climatology, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, 15784, Greece
Stelios Kazadzis
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos, World Radiation Center (PMOD/WRC), Davos 7260, Switzerland
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Cited
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Machine Learning Site Adaptation for Optimizing Heliosat-4 Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Adjacent Satellite Cells R. Ledesma et al. https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4071839
- PV power modelling using solar radiation from ground-based measurements and CAMS: Assessing the diffuse component related uncertainties leveraging the Global Solar Energy Estimator (GSEE) N. Papadimitriou et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-1227-2026
- Assessment of the accuracy in UV index modelling using the UVIOS2 system during the UVC-III campaign I. Fountoulakis et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-7451-2025
- Hybrid Temporal Convolutional Networks and Long Short-Term Memory Model for Accurate and Sustainable Wind–Solar Power Forecasting Leveraging Time-Frequency Joint Analysis and Multi-Head Self-Attention Y. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18083904
- Coupled estimation of irradiance and cloud cover in tropical regions using all-sky imaging A. da Silveira et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2026.114714
- Cloud enhancement events at a Romanian BSRN site and their impact on photovoltaic energy yield K. Fragkos et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2026.114824
- Ultra-short-term PV power forecasting under complex sky conditions using all-sky imaging and physically informed dynamic features Y. Huang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2026.126183
- Spatiotemporal Characterization of Solar Radiation in a Green Dwarf Coconut Intercropping System Using Tower and Remote Sensing Data G. Fernandes et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering7030088
- A climate-adapted framework for multi-temporal resource assessment of global horizontal irradiance under changing atmospheric conditions M. Ahmad & M. Zeeshan https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2026.114516
- UV Map Nowcasting and Comparison with Ground-Based UV Measurements for the DACH Region B. Klotz et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17040629
- Online-Coupled Aerosol Effects on Cloud Microphysics and Surface Solar Irradiance in WRF-Solar S. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17162829
- Daily-Scale Meteorological Normalization of Surface Solar Radiation in Varying Pollution Levels: A Statistical Case Study in Beijing (2015–2019) T. Wu et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18091368
- Intercomparison of aerosol optical depth retrievals from GAW-PFR and SKYNET sun photometer networks and the effect of calibration A. Karanikolas et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-6085-2024
- A hybrid CARIMA-SARIMA-Logistic model for Energy-CO2 transition in Africa: Evaluating five paths to Net-Zero by 2050 under scenario conditions E. Eyime et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101934
- ALICENET – an Italian network of automated lidar ceilometers for four-dimensional aerosol monitoring: infrastructure, data processing, and applications A. Bellini et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-6119-2024
- Artificial neural network modeling for predicting PM10, PM2.5, NOX, and SO2 in coal mining areas A. Mishra et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-025-01922-w
- Retrieval of aerosol properties from aerosol optical depth measurements with high temporal resolution and spectral range A. Karanikolas et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-18-7651-2025
- Validating Meteosat Second Generation and Himawari-8 Derived Solar Irradiance against Ground Measurements: Solarad AI’s Approach J. Meher et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17122913
- Effects of Aerosols and Clouds on Solar Energy Production from Bifacial Solar Park in Kozani, NW Greece E. Baxevanaki et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17183201
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Machine Learning Site Adaptation for Optimizing Heliosat-4 Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Adjacent Satellite Cells R. Ledesma et al. https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4071839
- PV power modelling using solar radiation from ground-based measurements and CAMS: Assessing the diffuse component related uncertainties leveraging the Global Solar Energy Estimator (GSEE) N. Papadimitriou et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-1227-2026
- Assessment of the accuracy in UV index modelling using the UVIOS2 system during the UVC-III campaign I. Fountoulakis et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-7451-2025
- Hybrid Temporal Convolutional Networks and Long Short-Term Memory Model for Accurate and Sustainable Wind–Solar Power Forecasting Leveraging Time-Frequency Joint Analysis and Multi-Head Self-Attention Y. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18083904
- Coupled estimation of irradiance and cloud cover in tropical regions using all-sky imaging A. da Silveira et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2026.114714
- Cloud enhancement events at a Romanian BSRN site and their impact on photovoltaic energy yield K. Fragkos et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2026.114824
- Ultra-short-term PV power forecasting under complex sky conditions using all-sky imaging and physically informed dynamic features Y. Huang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2026.126183
- Spatiotemporal Characterization of Solar Radiation in a Green Dwarf Coconut Intercropping System Using Tower and Remote Sensing Data G. Fernandes et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering7030088
- A climate-adapted framework for multi-temporal resource assessment of global horizontal irradiance under changing atmospheric conditions M. Ahmad & M. Zeeshan https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2026.114516
- UV Map Nowcasting and Comparison with Ground-Based UV Measurements for the DACH Region B. Klotz et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17040629
- Online-Coupled Aerosol Effects on Cloud Microphysics and Surface Solar Irradiance in WRF-Solar S. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17162829
- Daily-Scale Meteorological Normalization of Surface Solar Radiation in Varying Pollution Levels: A Statistical Case Study in Beijing (2015–2019) T. Wu et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18091368
- Intercomparison of aerosol optical depth retrievals from GAW-PFR and SKYNET sun photometer networks and the effect of calibration A. Karanikolas et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-6085-2024
- A hybrid CARIMA-SARIMA-Logistic model for Energy-CO2 transition in Africa: Evaluating five paths to Net-Zero by 2050 under scenario conditions E. Eyime et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101934
- ALICENET – an Italian network of automated lidar ceilometers for four-dimensional aerosol monitoring: infrastructure, data processing, and applications A. Bellini et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-6119-2024
- Artificial neural network modeling for predicting PM10, PM2.5, NOX, and SO2 in coal mining areas A. Mishra et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-025-01922-w
- Retrieval of aerosol properties from aerosol optical depth measurements with high temporal resolution and spectral range A. Karanikolas et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-18-7651-2025
- Validating Meteosat Second Generation and Himawari-8 Derived Solar Irradiance against Ground Measurements: Solarad AI’s Approach J. Meher et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17122913
- Effects of Aerosols and Clouds on Solar Energy Production from Bifacial Solar Park in Kozani, NW Greece E. Baxevanaki et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17183201
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 21 Jul 2026
Short summary
The upgraded systems SENSE2 and NextSENSE2 focus on improving the quality of solar nowcasting and forecasting. SENSE2 provides real-time estimates of solar irradiance across a wide region every 15 min. NextSENSE2 offers short-term forecasts of irradiance up to 3 h ahead. Evaluation with actual data showed that the instantaneous comparison yields the most discrepancies due to the uncertainties of cloud-related information and satellite versus ground-based spatial representativeness limitations.
The upgraded systems SENSE2 and NextSENSE2 focus on improving the quality of solar nowcasting...
