Articles | Volume 18, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-18-4543-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-18-4543-2025
Research article
 | 
16 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 16 Sep 2025

Assessment of aerosol optical depth forecast for day-ahead clear-sky direct irradiance

Xinyuan Hou, Kyriakoula Papachristopoulou, and Stelios Kazadzis

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Short summary
We analyzed aerosol ground measurements and model based aerosol optical depth (AOD) forecasts to study variations in AOD at different global sites. We compared day-ahead AOD forecast methods and assessed their impact on forecasting clear-sky direct normal irradiance (DNI). While none of the methods accurately forecast DNI within 5 %, most sites showed a DNI deviation within 20 %, especially at sites with urban-industrial aerosols.
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