Articles | Volume 19, issue 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-5071-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-5071-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Improving multi-modal wind speed prediction of short and medium term with a bi-clustered machine learning method
Yan Zhang
Research Institute of Economics and Technology, State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Urumqi, 830000, China
Lei Li
State Nuclear Electric Power Planning Design & Research Institute, Beijing, 100095, China
Xiong Xiong
Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, Information and Systems Science Institute, Nanjing, 210044, China
Xiang Yin
Research Institute of Economics and Technology, State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Urumqi, 830000, China
Xiaojun Zhang
Research Institute of Economics and Technology, State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Urumqi, 830000, China
Fuhai Cui
Research Institute of Economics and Technology, State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Urumqi, 830000, China
Rui Dang
Research Institute of Economics and Technology, State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Urumqi, 830000, China
Wei Liu
Research Institute of Economics and Technology, State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Urumqi, 830000, China
Liang Zhai
Research Institute of Economics and Technology, State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Urumqi, 830000, China
Pengzhao Wang
Research Institute of Economics and Technology, State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Urumqi, 830000, China
Peng Sun
State Nuclear Electric Power Planning Design & Research Institute, Beijing, 100095, China
Weixiao Lu
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Jingzhou Meteorological Bureau, Jingzhou, 434020, China
Wenjie Zhang
State Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China
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Short summary
We developed a Bi-clustered Recursive Bayesian Forest model that improves wind speed forecast accuracy by 48.2 % and reduces error metrics by over 60 %. The model incorporates sea-land breeze, weather stability, and atmospheric circulation indices as features, and uses bi-clustering modal classification to mitigate wind speed magnitude interactions. This machine learning-based correction technique outperforms traditional numerical models, providing more reliable wind speed forecasting.
We developed a Bi-clustered Recursive Bayesian Forest model that improves wind speed forecast...