Articles | Volume 19, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-4759-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-4759-2026
Research article
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24 Jul 2026
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 24 Jul 2026

The added value of new ground-based observations in improving China's methane emission quantification

Huiru Zhong, Lu Shen, Fengwei Wan, Meng Qu, and Kai Qin

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Editorial statement
Methane is the second most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas, responsible for approximately 0.6°C of global warming since pre-industrial times. As one of the world’s largest methane emitters, China requires an expanded observation network to support accurate emission quantification and effective mitigation. However, determining the optimal placement of new monitoring stations remains a major challenge. This study has successfully addressed this challenge by developing an integrated optimization framework, which combines Bayesian inverse modeling with a simulated annealing algorithm, to identify the most effective locations for future methane observations. The results show that prioritizing stations in eastern and southwestern China maximizes information gain, and that adding 50 strategically located sites could nearly double the current capability to constrain national methane emissions. By providing a quantitative roadmap for the design of future methane monitoring networks, this approach is broadly transferable to other rapidly developing regions, offering valuable guidance for global climate mitigation efforts.
Short summary
Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, yet existing satellite and ground observations in China are too sparse to accurately quantify emissions, highlighting the need for an expanded ground network. Using Bayesian inversion and simulated annealing, we identify optimal locations for new sites. Results show that prioritizing stations in eastern and southwestern China would be most effective. Expanding the network with 50 stations could nearly double the current emission constraint capability.
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